Creating a Lineup on DraftKings
As you’ve probably seen on twitter, I’ve gotten into Daily Fantasy sports recently and I’m doing pretty well. The biggest fantasy sport by far is Football, and the season starts in just over a week. There’s absolutely a boat load of money to be made on sites like DraftKings and Fanduel for anyone who is smart and knows a little about football.
Below is an article from my website, http://dailyfantasywinners.com. If you’re new to daily fantasy, this article should help you understand the elements that go into creating a lineup. If you end up signing up for DraftKings or Fanduel after reading this article, please sign up using the banners on http://dailyfantasywinners.com or by using this link http://partners.draftkings.com/aff_c?offer_id=489&aff_id=29984. You can also use the promo code ‘DFW’ on Fanduel for a 100% deposit bonus up to $200.
And if you want to learn more, feel free to tweet me or DM me, I’m always happy to help.
Creating a Lineup on DraftKings
Discovering Daily Fantasy Sports like DraftKings is, well, exciting. You can see by their promotions that the money to be won this year playing is absolutely massive, and as someone who already loves fantasy, this seems right up your alley. However, once you enter a tournament and start the process of making a lineup, you may find that you don’t really know where to start. Unlike season-long fantasy, you can play whoever you want every week, which means the lineup combinations are endless. But by understanding a few simple concepts, making a lineup can actually be very simple, easy and fun.
The goal of this article is to show you how to make a lineup by letting you see a real DraftKings NFL lineup that I will use in week 1. I will explain the key concepts and reasoning that go into each pick. After reading this article, you should be ready to make your own lineup and already have a big edge on other players who may be playing on DraftKings for the first time.
DraftKings: Salary and Salary Cap
On almost every Daily Fantasy website, each player is assigned a salary and the website gives you a specific payroll that the total salary of all your players must fit under. On DraftKings, salaries can range from anywhere to $3000 (i.e. Tedd Ginn Jr.) to $10,000 or sometimes higher (i.e. Peyton Manning). Salaries vary from week to week, based on an algorithm DraftKings has created in order to price players fairly. However, their algorithm isn’t perfect. Some players will be drastically mispriced due to injury, matchup, or other factors. Our goal in creating a lineup is to find the best value out of all the players in the NFL and balance that with players we think will be the top performers of the week.
QB Colin Kaepernick ($8000) – This is a play based on Matchup, Value, and Vegas.
Kaepernick is going against a defense that was absolutely atrocious last year in the Cowboys, and they almost certainly have gotten worse with the losses of Demarcus Ware and Jason Hatcher in the off-season. Targeting star players who are facing bad defenses is essential in creating a top team.
Sportsbooks (I use thegreek.com for lines) are projecting that the 49ers score 28 points against the Cowboys, one of the higher point projection totals you will see throughout the year. Sportsbook over/under lines and spreads are a big part of predicting big fantasy performances. Handicappers are very good at their jobs, so the lines in general are going to be very predictive of the actual outcomes of games. We want to use this to our advantage, so when the Sportsbooks say that the 49ers are going to have a great game, we believe them (Read more on why Vegas sports betting lines are so good here: http://dailyfantasywinners.com/vegas-trust/). Kaepernick is a massive part of the 49ers offense, so a good team performance almost certainly means a good performance from Kaep.
Kaepernick is a high potential fantasy player for his ability to both run and pass. I expect him to be one of the highest scoring players week 1, and in order to win a big tournament like DraftKings Sunday Million, you will absolutely need to have the top scoring players of the week on your team. You save a couple thousand by using Kaepernick over Peyton Manning or Drew Brees, but he has as much potential as either of them.
Arian Foster ($7,200) – This pick is mostly due to an expected improvement this season, and matchup. There are many reasons a player’s salary may be lower than it should be. Foster had an injury-riddled, sub-par, season last year and consequently his price is significantly depressed week 1. But now he’s healthy and his backup Ben Tate is starting in Cleveland. This means Foster should get the majority of carries against the Redskins.
While the Redskins have made some improvements to their defense, they still will be a mediocre to poor defense this season. Vegas has the Texans scoring over 24 points week 1, and like Kaepernick, Foster should play a major role in the Texans offense. This is a great matchup for Foster.
Want to see the reasoning for the rest of my picks? Read more by going to http://dailyfantasywinners.com/create-nfl-lineup-draftkings/